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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulsan Citizen v Pocheon: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea · Ulsan Complex Stadium
0–1
FT

Pocheon

WDWWW
Ulsan Citizen 21%Draw 29%Pocheon 51% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.34
79%
Betarazi pick

Pocheon or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPocheon to win ✓51% · @1.75
Double chancePocheon or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.64

Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ulsan Citizen welcome Pocheon to Ulsan Complex Stadium for a K3 League fixture on Saturday 30 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Ulsan Citizen are 9th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Pocheon are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ulsan Citizen, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Changwon City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Pocheon, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Jeonbuk Motors II, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pocheon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Ulsan Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulsan Citizen 0.8 xG, Pocheon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulsan Citizen 21%, draw 29%, Pocheon 51%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pocheon or draw (79%) at 1.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pocheon or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Pocheon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulsan Citizen21%fair 4.84 · @4.10
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.25
Pocheon51%fair 1.98 · @1.75
2.19Expected goals
0.85Ulsan Citizen xG
1.34Pocheon xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Ulsan Citizen 0.8 – 1.3 Pocheon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPocheon to win ✓51%1.981.75
Double chancePocheon or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betPocheon (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapUlsan Citizen +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scorePocheon to score first ✓55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pocheon / FT Pocheon ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15%6.64–

Recent results

Ulsan Citizen – last 6

LLLDLD
23 May@ Changwon City0–2L
9 Mayvs Siheung Citizen0–1L
1 Mayvs Daejeon Korail0–1L
25 Apr@ Gyeongju HNP2–2D
19 Apr@ Busan Transportation0–3L
12 Aprvs Jeonbuk Motors II0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Pocheon – last 6

WDWWWL
23 Mayvs Jeonbuk Motors II5–1W
16 Mayvs Changwon City0–0D
9 May@ Chuncheon1–0W
2 Mayvs Yangpyeong2–0W
26 Apr@ Yeoju Sejong4–3W
19 Aprvs Siheung Citizen1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ulsan Citizen and Pocheon.

Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon?

Our pick is Pocheon or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon?

On our numbers Ulsan Citizen have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Pocheon 51%.

How many goals will there be in Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon?

Our predicted score is Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Pocheon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon?

Ulsan Citizen vs Pocheon (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.