Value bet: Dangjin Citizen to win @ 2.70 – our chance 49% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDangjin Citizen to win ✓49% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Dangjin Citizen v Yangpyeong in the K3 League. In the table, Dangjin Citizen are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Yangpyeong are 13th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dangjin Citizen, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Siheung Citizen, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Yangpyeong, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gangneung City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dangjin Citizen, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Yangpyeong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dangjin Citizen 2.1 xG, Yangpyeong 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dangjin Citizen 49%, draw 22%, Yangpyeong 29%.
Price worth noting: Dangjin Citizen to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dangjin Citizen 2–1 Yangpyeong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dangjin Citizen49%fair 2.05 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.00
Yangpyeong29%fair 3.44 · @2.40
3.30Expected goals
2.05Dangjin Citizen xG
1.25Yangpyeong xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dangjin Citizen 2.1 – 1.3 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dangjin Citizen to win✓
49%
2.05
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Dangjin Citizen (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Yangpyeong +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Dangjin Citizen to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Dangjin Citizen ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dangjin Citizen / FT Dangjin Citizen✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Dangjin Citizen – last 6
LLDLWW
23 May
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
16 May
vs Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
10 May
@ Gyeongju HNP
2–2
D
2 May
@ Busan Transportation
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Chuncheon
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yangpyeong – last 6
LWLLLL
23 May
vs Gangneung City
0–1
L
9 May
vs Changwon City
1–0
W
2 May
@ Pocheon
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Gyeongju HNP
0–4
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dangjin Citizen and Yangpyeong.
What is the prediction for Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Dangjin Citizen have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yangpyeong 29%.
How many goals will there be in Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Dangjin Citizen 2–1 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong?
Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
