Value bet: CRB to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✗39% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.94
America Mineiro vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro welcome CRB to Arena Independência for a Serie B fixture on Monday 4 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; CRB are 6th (upper half) with 58. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chapecoense-sc, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
CRB, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sousa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.2 xG, CRB 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 39%, draw 27%, CRB 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: CRB to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–1 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro39%fair 2.58 · @2.14
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.15
CRB34%fair 2.93 · @3.50
2.43Expected goals
1.19America Mineiro xG
1.24CRB xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.2 – 1.2 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America Mineiro
CRB
Attack vs Serie B average
-28%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.34
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America Mineiro to win✗
39%
2.58
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
America Mineiro (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
CRB to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.94
–
Recent results
America Mineiro – last 6
LLWDDL
29 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Ponte Preta
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Tombense
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
WLLDLL
30 Apr
vs Sousa
3–0
W
23 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Juventude
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–3
L
9 Apr
@ ASA
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and CRB.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs CRB?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win America Mineiro vs CRB?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CRB 34%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs CRB?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs CRB?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs CRB?
America Mineiro vs CRB (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
