Athletic Club 34%Draw 28%Juventude 38%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.13
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Athletic Club vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude travel to face Athletic Club on Sunday 17 May in the Serie B, with Estádio Joaquim Portugal the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club are 14th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Internacional, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Juventude, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sao Paulo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.0 xG, Juventude 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 34%, draw 28%, Juventude 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 0–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club34%fair 2.92 · @2.58
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.98
Juventude38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
2.10Expected goals
0.97Athletic Club xG
1.13Juventude xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.0 – 1.1 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Athletic Club
Juventude
Attack vs Serie B average
+6%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.04
1.37
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
38%
2.65
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Juventude to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.21
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 6
LDLLLW
12 May
@ Internacional
2–3
L
4 May
@ Vila Nova
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Internacional
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ CRB
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WDWLWL
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
10 May
vs Criciuma
0–0
D
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Londrina
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Juventude?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventude 38%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 0–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Juventude?
Athletic Club vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Joaquim Portugal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
