Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗51% · @1.88
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Atletico Goianiense v São Bernardo in the Serie B, played at Estádio Antônio Accioly. In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52.
Current form
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Criciuma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
São Bernardo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Londrina, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.5 xG, São Bernardo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 51%, draw 28%, São Bernardo 21%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Goianiense or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Goianiense or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Goianiense51%fair 1.94 · @1.88
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
São Bernardo21%fair 4.82 · @4.45
2.34Expected goals
1.46Atletico Goianiense xG
0.89São Bernardo xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.5 – 0.9 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Attack vs Serie B average
+6%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.00
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✗
51%
1.94
1.88
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Goianiense (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Goianiense to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DLDDWW
17 May
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Gama
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Atletico Paranaense
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Londrina
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
WDDLLW
12 May
@ Londrina
3–1
W
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Tombense
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Cianorte
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and São Bernardo 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo?
Atletico Goianiense vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
