Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 2.24 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✗48% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Juventude vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife travel to face Juventude on Sunday 24 May in the Serie B, with Estádio Alfredo Jaconi the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Juventude, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athletic Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sport Recife, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fortaleza EC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.4 xG, Sport Recife 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 48%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 26%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @2.24 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–0 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventude48%fair 2.08 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.15
Sport Recife26%fair 3.79 · @3.30
2.26Expected goals
1.42Juventude xG
0.83Sport Recife xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.4 – 0.8 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventude
Sport Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
+23%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.78
0.84
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
48%
2.08
2.24 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Sport Recife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Juventude to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Juventude – last 6
DWDWLW
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
13 May
vs Sao Paulo
3–1
W
10 May
vs Criciuma
0–0
D
7 May
vs Tombense
2–1
W
1 May
@ Cianorte
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Londrina
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Recife – last 6
WLWLWW
21 May
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
18 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
7 May
vs ASA
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Maranhão
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventude vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Juventude have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Recife 26%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Sport Recife?
Juventude vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
