America Mineiro 34%Draw 29%Atletico Goianiense 38%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.15
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.02
America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro welcome Atletico Goianiense to Arena Independência for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 9 June (00:00 WAT). In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Atletico Goianiense are 8th (upper half) with 58. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Goias, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.0 xG, Atletico Goianiense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 34%, draw 29%, Atletico Goianiense 38%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro34%fair 2.97 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.11Expected goals
0.97America Mineiro xG
1.15Atletico Goianiense xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.0 – 1.1 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
Attack vs Serie B average
-28%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-18%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.12
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✓
38%
2.65
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Atletico Goianiense (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Goianiense to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.02
–
Recent results
America Mineiro – last 6
LLWLLL
30 May
@ Juventude
0–3
L
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
7 May
vs Cianorte
3–2
W
4 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Ponte Preta
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DLDLDD
30 May
vs Goias
1–1
D
24 May
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
17 May
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Gama
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Atletico Paranaense
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atletico Goianiense 38%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense?
America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
