Vila Nova 48%Draw 27%Botafogo SP 25%Expected goals 1.39 – 0.90
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultVila Nova to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vila Nova welcome Botafogo SP to Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 9 June (00:00 WAT). In the table, Vila Nova are 3rd, among the top four, on 66 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vila Nova, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Londrina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Botafogo SP, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ponte Preta, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.4 xG, Botafogo SP 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 48%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 25%.
Lower-risk option: Vila Nova or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Nova48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.15
Botafogo SP25%fair 4.08 · @3.95
2.29Expected goals
1.39Vila Nova xG
0.90Botafogo SP xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.4 – 0.9 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average
+16%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.40
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✓
48%
2.07
2.00
Double chance
Vila Nova or draw✓
75%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Draw no bet
Vila Nova (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo SP +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Vila Nova to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Vila Nova – last 6
WWWDWD
31 May
@ Londrina
1–0
W
24 May
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
17 May
vs Avai
2–0
W
4 May
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Araguaína
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Capital Brasilia
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
DLLDLL
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
10 May
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 25%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
