Value bet: Cuiaba to win @ 2.46 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCuiaba to win ✓45% · @2.46
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 9 June the Serie B brings Ponte Preta against Cuiaba at Moisés Lucarelli. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botafogo SP, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cuiaba, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CRB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.7 xG, Cuiaba 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 25%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 45%.
Lower-risk option: Cuiaba or draw (75%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Cuiaba to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cuiaba or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.80
Cuiaba45%fair 2.20 · @2.46
1.97Expected goals
0.73Ponte Preta xG
1.24Cuiaba xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.7 – 1.2 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Attack vs Serie B average
-43%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+66%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.67
1.40
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuiaba to win✓
45%
2.20
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Cuiaba or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.55
Draw no bet
Cuiaba (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Ponte Preta +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Cuiaba to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.78
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
DLLWWD
1 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–0
D
24 May
@ CRB
2–4
L
18 May
vs Londrina
1–4
L
25 Apr
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Avai
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Ceara
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
WLDLDL
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
22 May
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
17 May
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Anápolis
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Porto Vitória
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Cuiaba.
Our pick is Cuiaba or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cuiaba 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba?
Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
