Avai travel to face Ceara on Thursday 11 June in the Serie B, with Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Avai, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chapecoense-sc, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.4 xG, Avai 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 52%, draw 27%, Avai 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ceara or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara52%fair 1.91 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.65
Avai20%fair 4.89 · @4.60
2.30Expected goals
1.44Ceara xG
0.86Avai xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.4 – 0.9 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ceara
Avai
Attack vs Serie B average
-12%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.24
0.82
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Double chance
Ceara or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Ceara (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Avai +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Ceara to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Ceara – last 6
LWLWLW
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Maranhão
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Jacuipense
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
WLWLDL
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
20 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–2
D
17 May
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ceara vs Avai?
On our numbers Ceara have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Avai 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Avai?
Ceara vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
