Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓36% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.60
Goias vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 11 June: Goias v Novorizontino in the Serie B, played at Estádio da Serrinha. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Goias, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Goianiense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Novorizontino, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with São Bernardo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.0 xG, Novorizontino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 35%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 36%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias35%fair 2.82 · @2.36
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.96
Novorizontino36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.04Goias xG
1.19Novorizontino xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Goias 1.0 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Goias
Novorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average
-10%
+44%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-26%
Our expected goals here
0.92
1.29
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
36%
2.78
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Goias +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.60
–
Recent results
Goias – last 6
DWLLDW
30 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
24 May
@ Avai
2–0
W
13 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–1
L
3 May
@ Fortaleza EC
1–4
L
22 Apr
vs Cruzeiro
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Criciuma
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
DDLDWW
31 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
27 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
20 May
vs Chapecoense-sc
0–2
L
17 May
@ Cuiaba
0–0
D
10 May
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
7 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Goias vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Goias have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Novorizontino 36%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Novorizontino?
Goias vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
