Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗53% · @1.80
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Club travel to face Sport Recife on Thursday 11 June in the Serie B, with Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nautico Recife, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Athletic Club, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fortaleza EC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sport Recife, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Athletic Club.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Sport Recife 1–3 Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.5 xG, Athletic Club 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 53%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 21%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Recife or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Athletic Club21%fair 4.70 · @4.65
2.48Expected goals
1.54Sport Recife xG
0.93Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.5 – 0.9 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Attack vs Serie B average
+15%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.13
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Club 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
