São Bernardo vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 14 June the Serie B brings São Bernardo against Sport Recife at Estadio Primeiro de Maio. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over CRB, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sport Recife, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athletic Club, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.5 xG, Sport Recife 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 43%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo43%fair 2.32 · @2.36
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.15
Sport Recife31%fair 3.20 · @3.05
2.58Expected goals
1.46São Bernardo xG
1.12Sport Recife xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.5 – 1.1 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
+20%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.73
1.21
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✗
43%
2.32
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Sport Recife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
São Bernardo – last 6
WDWWDD
7 Jun
@ CRB
3–2
W
31 May
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
24 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–0
W
12 May
@ Londrina
3–1
W
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Tombense
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Recife – last 6
DWLWWL
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
31 May
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
28 May
vs Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
24 May
@ Juventude
1–0
W
21 May
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
18 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Recife 31%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Sport Recife?
São Bernardo vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
