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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil
2–0
FT
Atletico Goianiense 70%Draw 19%Ponte Preta 11% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.56
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓70% · @1.41
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 28 June the Serie B brings Atletico Goianiense against Ponte Preta. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Novorizontino, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Atletico Goianiense, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ponte Preta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 2.1 xG, Ponte Preta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 70%, draw 19%, Ponte Preta 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Goianiense70%fair 1.42 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.10
Ponte Preta11%fair 9.11 · @8.40
2.67Expected goals
2.11Atletico Goianiense xG
0.56Ponte Preta xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 2.1 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
Attack vs Serie B average+6%-43%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+66%
Our expected goals here2.420.47

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓70%1.421.41
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓89%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.15 ▲
Draw no betAtletico Goianiense (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapAtletico Goianiense -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreAtletico Goianiense to score first ✓74%1.36–
Half-time resultAtletico Goianiense ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✓49%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Atletico Goianiense – last 6

DDWDLD
19 Jun@ Sport Recife1–1D
12 Junvs CRB3–3D
9 Jun@ America Mineiro2–1W
30 Mayvs Goias1–1D
24 Mayvs São Bernardo0–1L
17 May@ Criciuma1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLLDLL
23 Junvs Novorizontino0–2L
14 Jun@ Juventude0–3L
9 Junvs Cuiaba1–2L
1 Junvs Botafogo SP0–0D
24 May@ CRB2–4L
18 Mayvs Londrina1–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta1–0
Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ponte Preta 11%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta?

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.