Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✓55% · @2.00
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Juventude vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude welcome Ceara to Estadio Alfredo Jaconi for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 28 June (20:00 WAT). In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Juventude, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over São Bernardo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ceara, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botafogo SP, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.6 xG, Ceara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 55%, draw 25%, Ceara 20%.
Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Juventude or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–0 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventude55%fair 1.81 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Ceara20%fair 5.08 · @3.95
2.25Expected goals
1.56Juventude xG
0.69Ceara xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.6 – 0.7 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventude
Ceara
Attack vs Serie B average
+23%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.86
0.64
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Ceara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Juventude to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Juventude – last 6
WWLWLD
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
17 May
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
LDWLWL
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Ceara.
Our pick is Juventude or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Juventude vs Ceara?
On our numbers Juventude have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ceara 20%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Ceara?
Juventude vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
