Nautico Recife vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Goias travel to face Nautico Recife on Sunday 28 June in the Serie B – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Vila Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Goias, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.3 xG, Goias 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 46%, draw 28%, Goias 26%.
Lower-risk option: Nautico Recife or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife46%fair 2.20 · @1.84
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.50
Goias26%fair 3.85 · @4.20
2.37Expected goals
1.28Nautico Recife xG
1.10Goias xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.3 – 1.1 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nautico Recife
Goias
Attack vs Serie B average
-22%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.94
1.07
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win✗
46%
2.20
1.84
Double chance
Nautico Recife or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Draw no bet
Nautico Recife (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Goias +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Nautico Recife to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 6
LDLLWW
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ Novorizontino
2–2
D
9 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
31 May
@ Sport Recife
0–2
L
22 May
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Goias – last 6
LDLDWL
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
14 Jun
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–4
L
30 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
24 May
@ Avai
2–0
W
13 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Goias.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Goias?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Goias?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Goias 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Goias?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Goias?
Nautico Recife vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
