Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✓54% · @1.94
Double chanceBotafogo SP or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Botafogo SP vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avai travel to face Botafogo SP on Monday 6 July in the Serie B, with Estádio Santa Cruz the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CRB, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Avai, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Athletic Club, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.5 xG, Avai 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 54%, draw 26%, Avai 20%.
Lower-risk option: Botafogo SP or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP54%fair 1.87 · @1.94
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Avai20%fair 4.98 · @4.10
2.17Expected goals
1.46Botafogo SP xG
0.72Avai xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.5 – 0.7 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo SP
Avai
Attack vs Serie B average
+4%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.47
0.66
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✓
54%
1.87
1.94
Double chance
Botafogo SP or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Botafogo SP (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Avai +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Botafogo SP to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✓
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Botafogo SP – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Jul
vs CRB
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Ceara
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Operario-PR
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Vila Nova
0–1
L
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
LWLLWL
28 Jun
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
11 Jun
@ Ceara
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Avai?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Avai 20%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Avai?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Botafogo SP vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
