Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.35 – our chance 40% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✗40% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Nautico Recife vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 July the Serie B brings Nautico Recife against Juventude. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Juventude are 2nd (among the top four) with 68. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Goias, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Juventude, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ceara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Juventude, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 0.9 xG, Juventude 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 32%, draw 27%, Juventude 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Juventude to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 0–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife32%fair 3.09 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Juventude40%fair 2.47 · @3.35
2.24Expected goals
0.93Nautico Recife xG
1.31Juventude xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 0.9 – 1.3 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Attack vs Serie B average
-22%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
-28%
Our expected goals here
0.78
1.46
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
40%
2.47
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Nautico Recife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Juventude to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 6
LLDLLW
28 Jun
vs Goias
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ Novorizontino
2–2
D
9 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
0–1
L
31 May
@ Sport Recife
0–2
L
22 May
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WWWLWL
28 Jun
vs Ceara
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
24 May
vs Sport Recife
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventude 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 0–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Juventude?
Nautico Recife vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
