Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.98 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗40% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novorizontino travel to face Operario-PR on Sunday 12 July in the Serie B, with Estádio Germano Krüger the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Operario-PR are 10th, upper half, on 54 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Operario-PR, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athletic Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Novorizontino, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Operario-PR 1.2 xG, Novorizontino 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Operario-PR 34%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Operario-PR34%fair 2.91 · @2.42
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.15
Novorizontino40%fair 2.52 · @2.98
2.58Expected goals
1.16Operario-PR xG
1.42Novorizontino xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 1.2 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average
+13%
+44%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.68
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novorizontino 40%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Germano Krüger.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
