São Bernardo 42%Draw 28%Cuiaba 30%Expected goals 1.19 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✗42% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47
São Bernardo vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: São Bernardo v Cuiaba in the Serie B, played at Estádio Primeiro de Maio. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vila Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cuiaba, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for São Bernardo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.2 xG, Cuiaba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 42%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 30%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–0 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo42%fair 2.37 · @2.36
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.92
Cuiaba30%fair 3.39 · @3.30
2.04Expected goals
1.19São Bernardo xG
0.85Cuiaba xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.2 – 0.9 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
Attack vs Serie B average
+20%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.87
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✗
42%
2.37
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.55
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.47
–
Recent results
São Bernardo – last 6
LLLDWD
6 Jul
@ Vila Nova
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Juventude
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Sport Recife
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ CRB
3–2
W
31 May
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
WDLWWW
3 Jul
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
26 Jun
vs Londrina
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Avai
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
9 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Cuiaba.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cuiaba 30%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–0 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Cuiaba?
São Bernardo vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
