Value bet: CRB to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Ceara vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 July the Serie B brings Ceara against CRB at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; CRB are 6th (upper half) with 58. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America Mineiro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
CRB, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nautico Recife, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CRB, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.3 xG, CRB 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 39%, draw 26%, CRB 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: CRB to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
CRB35%fair 2.87 · @3.45
2.63Expected goals
1.32Ceara xG
1.31CRB xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.3 – 1.3 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ceara
CRB
Attack vs Serie B average
-12%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.42
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✗
39%
2.55
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Ceara (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
CRB +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Ceara to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Ceara – last 6
DDLLLD
17 Jul
@ America Mineiro
1–1
D
14 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Goias
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Juventude
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
WDLWDD
17 Jul
vs Nautico Recife
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Goias
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Londrina
0–5
L
1 Jul
@ Botafogo SP
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
12 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and CRB.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ceara vs CRB?
On our numbers Ceara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CRB 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs CRB?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs CRB?
Ceara vs CRB (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
