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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Operario-PR v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Germano Krüger
3–2
FT
Operario-PR 72%Draw 19%Ponte Preta 9% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.62
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultOperario-PR to win ✓72% · @1.41
Double chanceOperario-PR or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.43

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 22 July the Serie B brings Operario-PR against Ponte Preta at Estádio Germano Krüger. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Operario-PR are 10th, upper half, on 54 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Operario-PR, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sport Recife, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Goias, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Operario-PR, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Ponte Preta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Operario-PR 2.2 xG, Ponte Preta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Operario-PR 72%, draw 19%, Ponte Preta 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Operario-PR 2–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Operario-PR72%fair 1.39 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.20
Ponte Preta9%fair 11.10 · @8.25
2.84Expected goals
2.22Operario-PR xG
0.62Ponte Preta xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Operario-PR 2.2 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Operario-PRPonte Preta
Attack vs Serie B average+13%-43%
Goals conceded vs average+14%+66%
Our expected goals here2.590.66

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOperario-PR to win ✓72%1.391.41
Double chanceOperario-PR or draw ✓91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.62
Draw no betOperario-PR (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapOperario-PR -1 (Asian handicap)66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.10
First team to scoreOperario-PR to score first73%1.36–
Half-time resultOperario-PR ahead at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR ✗49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%9.43–

Recent results

Operario-PR – last 6

DWWWWL
18 Jul@ Sport Recife2–2D
12 Julvs Novorizontino2–1W
8 Jul@ Athletic Club1–0W
27 Junvs America Mineiro1–0W
21 Jun@ Goias3–0W
14 Jun@ Botafogo SP1–2L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLLLLL
18 Julvs Goias1–2L
9 Julvs Criciuma1–2L
3 Jul@ Fortaleza EC0–2L
28 Jun@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
23 Junvs Novorizontino0–2L
14 Jun@ Juventude0–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Ponte Preta.

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Operario-PR have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ponte Preta 9%.

How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Operario-PR 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta?

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Germano Krüger.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.