Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Goias vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife travel to face Goias on Thursday 23 July in the Serie B, with Estádio da Serrinha the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Goias, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ponte Preta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sport Recife, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Goias, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.3 xG, Sport Recife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 43%, draw 27%, Sport Recife 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–1 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias43%fair 2.30 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.15
Sport Recife29%fair 3.42 · @3.30
2.35Expected goals
1.32Goias xG
1.03Sport Recife xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Goias 1.3 – 1.0 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Goias
Sport Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
-10%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.31
1.02
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✗
43%
2.30
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Goias (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Sport Recife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Goias to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Goias – last 6
WDWWLD
18 Jul
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ CRB
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Ceara
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
14 Jun
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Recife – last 6
DDLLDD
18 Jul
vs Operario-PR
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Botafogo SP
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Sport Recife.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Goias vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Goias have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sport Recife 29%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Sport Recife?
Goias vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
