Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Nautico Recife vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife welcome Londrina to Estádio dos Aflitos for a Serie B fixture on Thursday 23 July (01:30 WAT). In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CRB, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Londrina, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botafogo SP, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Londrina, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.5 xG, Londrina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 50%, draw 25%, Londrina 25%.
Lower-risk option: Nautico Recife or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–1 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife50%fair 1.99 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Londrina25%fair 4.08 · @4.33
2.62Expected goals
1.51Nautico Recife xG
1.11Londrina xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.5 – 1.1 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Attack vs Serie B average
-22%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
+31%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.23
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Double chance
Nautico Recife or draw✓
75%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Nautico Recife (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Londrina +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Nautico Recife to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife✓
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.08
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 6
LLDLLD
17 Jul
@ CRB
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Avai
0–2
L
6 Jul
vs Juventude
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Goias
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
14 Jun
@ Novorizontino
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Londrina – last 6
DDWDWW
18 Jul
vs Botafogo SP
0–0
D
13 Jul
@ America Mineiro
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs CRB
5–0
W
26 Jun
@ Cuiaba
2–2
D
20 Jun
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
16 Jun
vs Avai
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Londrina.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Londrina 25%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Londrina?
Nautico Recife vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio dos Aflitos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
