Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.97
Goias vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Goias welcome Fortaleza EC to Estádio da Serrinha for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 5 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Fortaleza EC are 5th (upper half) with 62.
Current form
Goias, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São Bernardo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fortaleza EC, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Goias.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Fortaleza EC 4–1 Goias.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.0 xG, Fortaleza EC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 37%, draw 26%, Fortaleza EC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Fortaleza EC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.75
Fortaleza EC38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.10Expected goals
1.04Goias xG
1.06Fortaleza EC xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Goias 1.0 – 1.1 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Goias have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fortaleza EC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
Goias vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
