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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Novorizontino v Avai: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase
3–1
FT

Avai

LWWWL
Novorizontino 62%Draw 23%Avai 14% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.68
62%
Betarazi pick

Novorizontino to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Novorizontino vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Serie B brings Novorizontino against Avai at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Novorizontino, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sport Recife, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Avai, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Avai.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Novorizontino 1–2 Avai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.7 xG, Avai 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 62%, draw 23%, Avai 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Novorizontino to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Novorizontino62%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
Avai14%fair 7.10 · @7.00
2.42Expected goals
1.74Novorizontino xG
0.68Avai xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.7 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓62%1.601.44
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.00
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapNovorizontino -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultNovorizontino ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Novorizontino – last 6

WWWDLW
29 Augvs Sport Recife2–1W
24 Aug@ Athletic Club4–1W
21 Augvs America Mineiro3–0W
16 Aug@ CRB0–0D
9 Augvs Juventude0–1L
26 Jul@ Londrina4–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Avai – last 6

LWWWLL
30 Augvs Atletico Goianiense0–1L
23 Aug@ Ponte Preta2–0W
19 Augvs Sport Recife2–1W
16 Aug@ Operario-PR2–1W
11 Augvs CRB0–1L
28 Jul@ Juventude0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Novorizontino v Avai1–2
Novorizontino vs Avai head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Avai?

Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Novorizontino vs Avai?

On our numbers Novorizontino have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avai 14%.

How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Avai?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Avai?

Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Novorizontino vs Avai?

Novorizontino vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.