Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 1.84 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✓62% · @1.84
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Goianiense welcome Ceara for a Serie B fixture on Thursday 10 September (01:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventude, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ceara, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sport Recife, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.7 xG, Ceara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 62%, draw 21%, Ceara 17%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Goianiense or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Goianiense or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Goianiense62%fair 1.60 · @1.84
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Ceara17%fair 5.93 · @4.33
2.34Expected goals
1.65Atletico Goianiense xG
0.68Ceara xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.7 – 0.7 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Goianiense to win✓
62%
1.60
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Goianiense or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.90
Draw no bet
Atletico Goianiense (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Goianiense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Atletico Goianiense to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DWWDLD
5 Sep
@ Juventude
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Avai
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Botafogo SP
3–0
W
18 Aug
@ Londrina
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Vila Nova
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Nautico Recife
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
WLWLLW
5 Sep
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Londrina
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Cuiaba
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Ponte Preta
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and Ceara.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ceara 17%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
