Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✗60% · @1.81
Double chanceSão Bernardo or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
São Bernardo vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 10 September: São Bernardo v Londrina in the Serie B, played at Estadio Primeiro de Maio. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ponte Preta, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Londrina, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours São Bernardo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Londrina.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Londrina 1–3 São Bernardo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.7 xG, Londrina 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 60%, draw 22%, Londrina 19%.
Lower-risk option: São Bernardo or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: São Bernardo to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–0 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo60%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
Londrina19%fair 5.40 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.70São Bernardo xG
0.81Londrina xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.7 – 0.8 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Londrina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Londrina?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Londrina 19%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–0 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Londrina?
São Bernardo vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
