Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.48 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓47% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novorizontino travel to face Botafogo SP on Wednesday 9 September in the Serie B, with Estadio Santa Cruz the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nautico Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Novorizontino, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avai, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Botafogo SP.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.0 xG, Novorizontino 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 29%, draw 24%, Novorizontino 47%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @2.48 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 0–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP29%fair 3.48 · @2.92
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Novorizontino47%fair 2.12 · @2.48
2.34Expected goals
0.98Botafogo SP xG
1.36Novorizontino xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.0 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novorizontino 47%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 0–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
