Cuiaba 63%Draw 23%Athletic Club 14%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.54
86%
Betarazi pick
Cuiaba or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cuiaba to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCuiaba to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.14
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 9 September the Serie B brings Cuiaba against Athletic Club at Arena Pantanal. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Criciuma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Athletic Club, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Vila Nova, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 1.5 xG, Athletic Club 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 63%, draw 23%, Athletic Club 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cuiaba or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Cuiaba to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cuiaba or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.15
Athletic Club14%fair 6.94 · @4.45
2.05Expected goals
1.52Cuiaba xG
0.54Athletic Club xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.5 – 0.5 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuiaba to win✓
63%
1.59
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Cuiaba or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.57
Draw no bet
Cuiaba (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Cuiaba to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.14
–
Recent results
Cuiaba – last 6
LWDWWD
4 Sep
@ Criciuma
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Goias
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ceara
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Sep
vs Vila Nova
5–0
W
29 Aug
@ Nautico Recife
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Novorizontino
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs CRB
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ America Mineiro
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Criciuma
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuiaba and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Cuiaba or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Athletic Club?
Cuiaba vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
