Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Fortaleza EC vs Avai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Fortaleza EC v Avai in the Serie B. In the table, Fortaleza EC are 5th, upper half, on 62 points after 37 matches; Avai are 17th (lower half) with 40. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Goias, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Avai, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Novorizontino, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.7 xG, Avai 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 66%, draw 20%, Avai 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Avai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.70
Avai14%fair 7.01 · @6.40
2.32Expected goals
1.72Fortaleza EC xG
0.60Avai xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.7 – 0.6 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Fortaleza EC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Fortaleza EC (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Fortaleza EC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Fortaleza EC to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Fortaleza EC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WDWDDD
5 Sep
@ Goias
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Criciuma
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs São Bernardo
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Juventude
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
LLWWWL
5 Sep
@ Novorizontino
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Ponte Preta
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs CRB
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Avai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
Fortaleza EC vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
