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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Londrina v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio do Cafe
6–0
FT
Londrina 72%Draw 17%Ponte Preta 10% Expected goals 2.05 – 0.60
72%
Betarazi pick

Londrina to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLondrina to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceLondrina or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72

Londrina vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Londrina welcome Ponte Preta to Estadio do Cafe for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 15 September (23:30 WAT). In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Londrina, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São Bernardo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sport Recife, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Londrina, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 1–4 Londrina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 2.1 xG, Ponte Preta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 72%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Londrina to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 2–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Londrina72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @5.00
Ponte Preta10%fair 9.56 · @9.50
2.65Expected goals
2.05Londrina xG
0.60Ponte Preta xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Londrina 2.1 – 0.6 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLondrina to win ✓72%1.381.30
Double chanceLondrina or draw ✓90%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.70
Draw no betLondrina (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapLondrina -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreLondrina to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultLondrina ahead at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Londrina / FT Londrina ✓47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.72–

Recent results

Londrina – last 6

WLDLDL
10 Sep@ São Bernardo2–1W
6 Sepvs Operario-PR1–2L
1 Sepvs Juventude0–0D
22 Aug@ Ceara1–2L
18 Augvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
15 Aug@ Sport Recife1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LLLLLD
11 Sep@ Sport Recife0–2L
6 Sepvs São Bernardo0–2L
30 Aug@ America Mineiro0–2L
23 Augvs Avai0–2L
20 Aug@ Vila Nova0–6L
14 Augvs Nautico Recife1–1D
0.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Ponte Preta v Londrina1–4
Londrina vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Londrina vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Londrina to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Londrina vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Londrina have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 10%.

How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Londrina 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Londrina vs Ponte Preta?

Londrina vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Cafe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.