Nautico Recife v Operario-PR Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNautico Recife to win ✗56% · @1.95

Double chanceNautico Recife or draw ✓83% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94

Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Tuesday 15 September: Nautico Recife v Operario-PR in the Serie B. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Operario-PR are 10th (upper half) with 54.

Current form

Nautico Recife, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Operario-PR, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over CRB, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nautico Recife, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Operario-PR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.6 xG, Operario-PR 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 56%, draw 27%, Operario-PR 17%.
Lower-risk option: Nautico Recife or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Nautico Recife to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nautico Recife or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–0 Operario-PR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nautico Recife56%fair 1.77 · @1.95

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20

Operario-PR17%fair 5.91 · @3.80

2.43Expected goals

1.64Nautico Recife xG

0.79Operario-PR xG

50%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–012%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.6 – 0.8 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nautico Recife to win ✗	56%	1.77	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Nautico Recife or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	50%	1.99	1.85
Draw no bet	Nautico Recife (draw no bet)	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Operario-PR +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Nautico Recife to score first	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife ✗	35%	2.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	14%	6.94	–

Nautico Recife – last 6

LWWDWD

10 Sep	@ America Mineiro	1–2	L
4 Sep	vs Botafogo SP	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Athletic Club	2–1	W
23 Aug	@ São Bernardo	1–1	D
19 Aug	vs Ceara	1–0	W
14 Aug	@ Ponte Preta	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Operario-PR – last 6

WWDDLL

10 Sep	vs CRB	3–0	W
6 Sep	@ Londrina	2–1	W
31 Aug	@ Fortaleza EC	1–1	D
23 Aug	vs Vila Nova	0–0	D
20 Aug	@ Cuiaba	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs Avai	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	+10	58
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	0	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	-9	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	-58	15

Team

Pts

+34

+23

+15

+11

-2

+10

-1

+10

-9

-9

-12

-13

-28

-58

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?

Our pick is Nautico Recife or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?

On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Operario-PR 17%.

How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?

Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–0 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?

Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nautico Recife v Operario-PR: numbers & prediction