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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Goias v Atletico Goianiense: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio da Serrinha

Goias

WWLLW
0–1
FT
Goias 40%Draw 24%Atletico Goianiense 36% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.05
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGoias to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.26

Goias vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Goianiense travel to face Goias on Saturday 26 September in the Serie B, with Estádio da Serrinha the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Atletico Goianiense are 8th (upper half) with 58. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Goias, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avai, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to São Bernardo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Goias. The last 2 head-to-heads: Goias 0 wins, Atletico Goianiense 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.1 xG, Atletico Goianiense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 40%, draw 24%, Atletico Goianiense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Goias40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense36%fair 2.77 · @2.88
2.18Expected goals
1.12Goias xG
1.05Atletico Goianiense xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Goias 1.1 – 1.1 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGoias to win ✗40%2.522.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.972.10 ▲
Draw no betGoias (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapAtletico Goianiense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreGoias to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Goias / FT Goias ✗21%4.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.26–

Recent results

Goias – last 6

WWLLWD
20 Sepvs Avai2–1W
14 Sep@ Botafogo SP3–1W
10 Sep@ Vila Nova0–2L
5 Sepvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
28 Augvs São Bernardo2–1W
22 Aug@ Cuiaba1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico Goianiense – last 6

LWWDWW
19 Sep@ São Bernardo0–1L
13 Sepvs Criciuma4–0W
10 Sepvs Ceara2–1W
5 Sep@ Juventude2–2D
30 Aug@ Avai1–0W
25 Augvs Botafogo SP3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Atletico Goianiense v Goias1–1
15 Mar 2026Goias v Atletico Goianiense0–0
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?

On our numbers Goias have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Goianiense 36%.

How many goals will there be in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?

Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?

Goias vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.