Vila Nova 63%Draw 23%Londrina 14%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.76
63%
Betarazi pick
Vila Nova to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVila Nova to win ✓63% · @1.60
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Vila Nova vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Vila Nova v Londrina in the Serie B, played at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga. In the table, Vila Nova are 3rd, among the top four, on 66 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vila Nova, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Londrina, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fortaleza EC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Londrina.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.9 xG, Londrina 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 63%, draw 23%, Londrina 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vila Nova to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 1–0 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Nova63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Londrina14%fair 7.01 · @5.80
2.62Expected goals
1.86Vila Nova xG
0.76Londrina xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.9 – 0.8 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Vila Nova to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Londrina?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Londrina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Londrina?
Vila Nova vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
