Value bet: Sport Recife to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNautico Recife to win ✓42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife welcome Sport Recife to Estadio dos Aflitos for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 26 September (20:30 WAT). In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Sport Recife are 9th (upper half) with 55.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cuiaba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sport Recife, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juventude, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.4 xG, Sport Recife 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 42%, draw 23%, Sport Recife 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sport Recife to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–1 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife42%fair 2.40 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Sport Recife36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.59Expected goals
1.36Nautico Recife xG
1.23Sport Recife xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.4 – 1.2 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sport Recife 36%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?
Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
