Value bet: Ceara to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✓43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Avai vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Serie B brings Avai against Ceara at Estádio da Ressacada. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Avai, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Criciuma, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ceara, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Operario-PR, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ceara, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Avai.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jun 2026) it ended Ceara 2–1 Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.1 xG, Ceara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 34%, draw 23%, Ceara 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Ceara to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai34%fair 2.94 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Ceara43%fair 2.34 · @2.70
2.38Expected goals
1.10Avai xG
1.28Ceara xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avai 1.1 – 1.3 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Avai vs Ceara?
On our numbers Avai have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ceara 43%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Ceara?
Avai vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
