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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botafogo SP v Vila Nova: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Santa Cruz

Botafogo SP

WDLLL
0–1
FT

Vila Nova

WWDWL
Botafogo SP 39%Draw 24%Vila Nova 37% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.17
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Botafogo SP v Vila Nova in the Serie B, played at Estadio Santa Cruz. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Vila Nova are 3rd (among the top four) with 66. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Botafogo SP, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Vila Nova, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Londrina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Botafogo SP.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.2 xG, Vila Nova 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 39%, draw 24%, Vila Nova 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–1 Vila Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botafogo SP39%fair 2.55 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Vila Nova37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
2.40Expected goals
1.23Botafogo SP xG
1.17Vila Nova xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.2 – 1.2 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotafogo SP to win ✗39%2.552.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.782.00 ▲
Draw no betBotafogo SP (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapVila Nova +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBotafogo SP to score first ✗46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

Botafogo SP – last 6

WDLLLL
29 Sepvs Ponte Preta2–0W
19 Sep@ Athletic Club1–1D
14 Sepvs Goias1–3L
9 Sepvs Novorizontino1–3L
4 Sep@ Nautico Recife0–1L
29 Augvs Cuiaba1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vila Nova – last 6

WWDWLW
26 Sepvs Londrina2–0W
18 Sepvs America Mineiro1–0W
15 Sep@ Avai1–1D
10 Sepvs Goias2–0W
5 Sep@ Athletic Club0–5L
30 Augvs Ceara2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jun 2026Vila Nova v Botafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
FT Londrina0 Criciuma2 134%2.88X23%3.10243%2.38 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✗
FT Juventude3 Operario-PR0 163%1.75X24%3.30213%4.75 1.6–0.6xG 1Juventude to win 63%@1.75 ✓
FT Fortaleza EC1 Nautico Recife1 168%1.53X22%3.80210%5.50 1.8–0.5xG 1Fortaleza EC to win 68%@1.53 ✗
FT Avai0 Ceara1 134%2.50X23%3.10243%2.70 1.1–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.91 ✗
FT Atletico Goianiense2 America Mineiro0 172%1.30X17%4.75211%9.00 1.8–0.5xG 1Atletico Goianiense to win 72%@1.30 ✓
FT Cuiaba2 Ponte Preta0 178%1.15X17%7.0026%15.00 2.0–0.3xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vila Nova 37%.

How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?

Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.