Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponte Preta travel to face Cuiaba on Saturday 3 October in the Serie B, with Arena Pantanal the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cuiaba, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CRB, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ponte Preta, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Botafogo SP, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ponte Preta.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 1–2 Cuiaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 2.0 xG, Ponte Preta 0.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 78%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 6%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cuiaba78%fair 1.29 · @1.15
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @7.00
Ponte Preta6%fair 18.08 · @15.00
2.27Expected goals
1.95Cuiaba xG
0.32Ponte Preta xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–020%
3–013%
0–010%
1–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 2.0 – 0.3 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 6%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.