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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cuiaba v Ponte Preta: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba

LWDWL
2–0
FT
Cuiaba 78%Draw 17%Ponte Preta 6% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.32
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCuiaba to win ✓78% · @1.15
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓94% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96

Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ponte Preta travel to face Cuiaba on Saturday 3 October in the Serie B, with Arena Pantanal the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Cuiaba are 13th, lower half, on 47 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cuiaba, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CRB, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Ponte Preta, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Botafogo SP, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cuiaba, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ponte Preta.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 1–2 Cuiaba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cuiaba 2.0 xG, Ponte Preta 0.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cuiaba 78%, draw 17%, Ponte Preta 6%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cuiaba 1–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cuiaba78%fair 1.29 · @1.15
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @7.00
Ponte Preta6%fair 18.08 · @15.00
2.27Expected goals
1.95Cuiaba xG
0.32Ponte Preta xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–020%
3–013%
0–010%
1–16%
4–06%

From our goals model: Cuiaba 2.0 – 0.3 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCuiaba to win ✓78%1.291.15
Double chanceCuiaba or draw ✓94%1.061.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.62
Draw no betCuiaba (draw no bet) ✓93%1.07–
Asian handicapCuiaba -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreCuiaba to score first ✓77%1.30–
Half-time resultCuiaba ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cuiaba / FT Cuiaba ✓51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.96–

Recent results

Cuiaba – last 6

LWDWLW
27 Sep@ CRB0–3L
22 Sepvs Nautico Recife3–0W
13 Sep@ Novorizontino1–1D
9 Sepvs Athletic Club3–0W
4 Sep@ Criciuma0–2L
29 Aug@ Botafogo SP2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ponte Preta – last 6

LWLLLL
29 Sep@ Botafogo SP0–2L
20 Sepvs CRB1–0W
15 Sep@ Londrina0–6L
11 Sep@ Sport Recife0–2L
6 Sepvs São Bernardo0–2L
30 Aug@ America Mineiro0–2L
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jun 2026Ponte Preta v Cuiaba1–2
Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?

On our numbers Cuiaba have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 6%.

How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?

Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta?

Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.