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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ceara v Criciuma: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Castelão

Ceara

WDWDL
1–0
FT

Criciuma

WWLLL
Ceara 45%Draw 25%Criciuma 31% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.94
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeara to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.46

Ceara vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Criciuma travel to face Ceara on Thursday 8 October in the Serie B, with Estadio Castelão the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ceara, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avai, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Criciuma, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Londrina, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Criciuma 1–1 Ceara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.2 xG, Criciuma 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 45%, draw 25%, Criciuma 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ceara45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Criciuma31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
2.15Expected goals
1.21Ceara xG
0.94Criciuma xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 0.9 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✓45%2.242.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.95
Draw no betCeara (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapCriciuma +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreCeara to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.46–

Recent results

Ceara – last 6

WDWDLW
3 Oct@ Avai1–0W
26 Sep@ Operario-PR2–2D
19 Sepvs Novorizontino2–1W
13 Sep@ Fortaleza EC1–1D
10 Sep@ Atletico Goianiense1–2L
5 Sepvs Sport Recife2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Criciuma – last 6

WWLLLW
3 Oct@ Londrina2–0W
27 Sepvs Avai3–0W
22 Sepvs Operario-PR0–2L
13 Sep@ Atletico Goianiense0–4L
9 Sepvs Juventude0–2L
4 Sepvs Cuiaba2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jun 2026Criciuma v Ceara1–1
Ceara vs Criciuma head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
FT America Mineiro0 Fortaleza EC1 117%3.90X27%3.20256%1.91 0.7–1.5xG X2Fortaleza EC or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT CRB3 Atletico Goianiense1 161%1.91X23%3.25216%3.90 1.8–0.8xG 1XCRB or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Vila Nova0 Cuiaba0 146%2.10X25%2.90230%3.75 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✗
FT Nautico Recife0 Novorizontino2 131%3.10X23%3.20246%2.20 1.1–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.73 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Criciuma?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Ceara vs Criciuma?

On our numbers Ceara have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Criciuma 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Criciuma?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Criciuma?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs Criciuma?

Ceara vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.