Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nautico Recife v Novorizontino: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio dos Aflitos

Nautico Recife

DWLDL
0–2
FT

Novorizontino

WDLDW
Nautico Recife 31%Draw 23%Novorizontino 46% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.41
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Nautico Recife v Novorizontino in the Serie B, played at Estadio dos Aflitos. In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nautico Recife, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortaleza EC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Novorizontino, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Goias, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Nautico Recife.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.1 xG, Novorizontino 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 31%, draw 23%, Novorizontino 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nautico Recife31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Novorizontino46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
2.52Expected goals
1.11Nautico Recife xG
1.41Novorizontino xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.1 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓46%2.192.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.73
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapNautico Recife +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first ✓51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Nautico Recife – last 6

DWLDLW
3 Oct@ Fortaleza EC1–1D
26 Sepvs Sport Recife3–1W
22 Sep@ Cuiaba0–3L
15 Sepvs Operario-PR3–3D
10 Sep@ America Mineiro1–2L
4 Sepvs Botafogo SP1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Novorizontino – last 6

WDLDWW
2 Octvs Goias3–0W
25 Sepvs São Bernardo0–0D
19 Sep@ Ceara1–2L
13 Sepvs Cuiaba1–1D
9 Sep@ Botafogo SP3–1W
5 Sepvs Avai3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Novorizontino v Nautico Recife2–2
Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
FT America Mineiro0 Fortaleza EC1 117%3.90X27%3.20256%1.91 0.7–1.5xG X2Fortaleza EC or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT CRB3 Atletico Goianiense1 161%1.91X23%3.25216%3.90 1.8–0.8xG 1XCRB or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Vila Nova0 Cuiaba0 146%2.10X25%2.90230%3.75 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✗
FT Ceara1 Criciuma0 145%2.30X25%2.90231%3.10 1.2–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.95 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novorizontino 46%.

How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?

Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio dos Aflitos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.