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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Criciuma v America Mineiro: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto Hülse
1–0
FT
Criciuma 66%Draw 22%America Mineiro 12% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.49
66%
Betarazi pick

Criciuma to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCriciuma to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.09

Criciuma vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 12 October the Serie B brings Criciuma against America Mineiro at Estadio Heriberto Hülse. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; America Mineiro are 19th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Criciuma, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ceara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

America Mineiro, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fortaleza EC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for America Mineiro.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jun 2026) it ended America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.6 xG, America Mineiro 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 66%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Criciuma to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Criciuma66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.50
America Mineiro12%fair 8.46 · @10.00
2.11Expected goals
1.62Criciuma xG
0.49America Mineiro xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Criciuma 1.6 – 0.5 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCriciuma to win ✓66%1.511.30
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓88%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.62
Draw no betCriciuma (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapCriciuma -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreCriciuma to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%5.09–

Recent results

Criciuma – last 6

LWWLLL
8 Oct@ Ceara0–1L
3 Oct@ Londrina2–0W
27 Sepvs Avai3–0W
22 Sepvs Operario-PR0–2L
13 Sep@ Atletico Goianiense0–4L
9 Sepvs Juventude0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

America Mineiro – last 6

LLLLLW
8 Octvs Fortaleza EC0–1L
3 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
28 Sepvs Juventude0–1L
18 Sep@ Vila Nova0–1L
14 Sepvs São Bernardo0–2L
10 Sepvs Nautico Recife2–1W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jun 2026America Mineiro v Criciuma0–1
Criciuma vs America Mineiro head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

Our pick is Criciuma to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

On our numbers Criciuma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and America Mineiro 12%.

How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

Criciuma vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.