Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Fortaleza EC vs CRB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CRB travel to face Fortaleza EC on Monday 12 October in the Serie B, with Estadio Castelão the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Fortaleza EC are 5th, upper half, on 62 points after 37 matches; CRB are 6th (upper half) with 58.
Current form
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
CRB, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for CRB.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Fortaleza EC 1 win, CRB 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.8 xG, CRB 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 63%, draw 22%, CRB 15%.
Lower-risk option: Fortaleza EC or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Fortaleza EC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fortaleza EC or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–0 CRB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza EC63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
CRB15%fair 6.48 · @3.90
2.47Expected goals
1.75Fortaleza EC xG
0.72CRB xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.8 – 0.7 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fortaleza EC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CRB 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Fortaleza EC vs CRB (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
