Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗18% · fair 5.44
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponte Preta travel to face Novorizontino on Monday 12 October in the Serie B, with Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Ponte Preta are 20th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 55 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nautico Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventude, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Ponte Preta.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jun 2026) it ended Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 2.2 xG, Ponte Preta 0.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 81%, draw 13%, Ponte Preta 6%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 2–0 Ponte Preta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino81%fair 1.23 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.92 · @13.00
Ponte Preta6%fair 15.99 · @23.00
2.59Expected goals
2.21Novorizontino xG
0.38Ponte Preta xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–018%
1–017%
3–014%
0–08%
4–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 2.2 – 0.4 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ponte Preta 6%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 2–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
