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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avai v Athletic Club: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Ressacada

Avai

WWLLL
0–0
FT
Avai 40%Draw 25%Athletic Club 35% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.12
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.00Odds
2

Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAvai to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39

Avai vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Avai welcome Athletic Club to Ressacada for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 18 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

Avai, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cuiaba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Athletic Club, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Londrina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Athletic Club 1–0 Avai.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.2 xG, Athletic Club 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 40%, draw 25%, Athletic Club 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Athletic Club to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avai40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Athletic Club35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.35Expected goals
1.23Avai xG
1.12Athletic Club xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 1.1 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAvai to win ✗40%2.482.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.00
Draw no betAvai (draw no bet)54%1.87–
Asian handicapAthletic Club +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAvai to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Avai / FT Avai ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.39–

Recent results

Avai – last 6

WWLLLD
11 Oct@ Cuiaba1–0W
7 Octvs Londrina2–1W
3 Octvs Ceara0–1L
27 Sep@ Criciuma0–3L
20 Sep@ Goias1–2L
15 Sepvs Vila Nova1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

DLLDDW
13 Octvs Londrina2–2D
7 Oct@ Goias1–2L
2 Octvs Sport Recife1–2L
27 Sep@ Fortaleza EC2–2D
19 Sepvs Botafogo SP1–1D
13 Sep@ Juventude2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Athletic Club v Avai1–0
Avai vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avai vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Avai vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Avai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athletic Club 35%.

How many goals will there be in Avai vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avai vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Avai vs Athletic Club?

Avai vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.