Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Avai vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avai welcome Athletic Club to Ressacada for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 18 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Avai, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cuiaba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Athletic Club, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Londrina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Athletic Club 1–0 Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.2 xG, Athletic Club 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 40%, draw 25%, Athletic Club 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Athletic Club to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Athletic Club35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.35Expected goals
1.23Avai xG
1.12Athletic Club xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 1.1 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Avai vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Avai have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athletic Club 35%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Athletic Club?
Avai vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.