São Bernardo vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Serie B brings São Bernardo against Criciuma at Estadio Primeiro de Maio. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventude, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Criciuma, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.0 xG, Criciuma 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 35%, draw 25%, Criciuma 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Criciuma40%fair 2.48 · @2.45
2.18Expected goals
1.04São Bernardo xG
1.14Criciuma xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.0 – 1.1 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Criciuma 40%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Criciuma?
São Bernardo vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
