Value bet: Avai to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Avai vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Serie B brings Avai against São Bernardo at Ressacada. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Avai, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nautico Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
São Bernardo, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cuiaba, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours São Bernardo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Avai.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended São Bernardo 1–1 Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.1 xG, São Bernardo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 32%, draw 24%, São Bernardo 44%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Avai to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
São Bernardo44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
2.41Expected goals
1.09Avai xG
1.32São Bernardo xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avai 1.1 – 1.3 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Avai vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Avai have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Bernardo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avai vs São Bernardo?
Avai vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
