Vila Nova 39%Draw 24%Criciuma 37%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVila Nova to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.20
Vila Nova vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Vila Nova v Criciuma in the Serie B. In the table, Vila Nova are 3rd, among the top four, on 66 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62.
Current form
Vila Nova, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Juventude, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Criciuma, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ponte Preta, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Vila Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.1 xG, Criciuma 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 39%, draw 24%, Criciuma 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Criciuma to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 1–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Nova39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Criciuma37%fair 2.72 · @3.30
2.22Expected goals
1.13Vila Nova xG
1.08Criciuma xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.1 – 1.1 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Criciuma 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
Vila Nova vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
