Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.26
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza EC travel to face Novorizontino on Saturday 7 November in the Serie B, with Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:10 WAT. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Fortaleza EC are 5th (upper half) with 62.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Operario-PR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fortaleza EC, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Fortaleza EC.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Fortaleza EC 1–0 Novorizontino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.8 xG, Fortaleza EC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 65%, draw 24%, Fortaleza EC 11%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (89%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Fortaleza EC11%fair 9.19 · @5.25
2.42Expected goals
1.81Novorizontino xG
0.61Fortaleza EC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.8 – 0.6 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza EC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
