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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boston River v Albion FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Artigas
Sat 21 Feb 2026
Boston River 39%Draw 27%Albion FC 34% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.21
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.52

6/10Rating
1.52Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultBoston River to win39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.23

Boston River vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boston River welcome Albion FC to Parque Artigas for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 21 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Boston River are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 1.3 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 39%, draw 27%, Albion FC 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boston River39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.00
Albion FC34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
2.49Expected goals
1.27Boston River xG
1.21Albion FC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Boston River 1.3 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Boston RiverAlbion FC
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-15%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+8%+16%
Our expected goals here1.271.27

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoston River to win39%2.582.25
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.381.34
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.852.15 ▲
Draw no betBoston River (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapAlbion FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.52
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.691.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.03
First team to scoreBoston River to score first47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boston River / FT Boston River22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.23–

Recent results

Boston River – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Danubio0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Albion FC – last 1

W
16 Febvs Cerro3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Albion FC.

Boston River vs Albion FC head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Albion FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Boston River vs Albion FC?

On our numbers Boston River have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Albion FC 34%.

How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Albion FC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Albion FC?

Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Boston River vs Albion FC?

Boston River vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.